Showing posts with label expanding variability. Show all posts
Showing posts with label expanding variability. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Pros and Cons of “Gender Dysphoria” and Transgenderism...


Image result for Nattaphon “Ice” Wangyot
Nattaphon “Ice” Wangyot



Ideas have consequences.

Unfortunately, due to Expanding Variability (the idea that the more information we uncover, the more complex a problem becomes, because the more previously unseen variables we come to see), many of those consequences are unintended and often unfortunate.

I have previously noted our national media’s seeming obsession with transgenderism in the most commercial and superficial way, as via the Bruce/Kaitlyn Jenner “Reality TV” show.

It seems that virtually everything “Reality TV” and our commercial media touches, it destroys and in this case, the efficacy or not of gender dysphoria/transgenderism.

One of the problems with the transgender movement to date, is that it is based almost entirely on feelings and often outrightly rejects science. It does that its own peril.

What’s more the movement itself has been coopted by various agenda-driven groups, most notably those who oppose the traditional nuclear family, and reject “traditional gender roles.”

Many go so far as to deny the science behind the many demonstrable differences between the genders.

This was brought to our attention this past May, when an Alaskan high school student (Nattaphon “Ice” Wangyot) became the first transgender athlete to compete individually for a high school state championship. That student, Nattaphon “Ice” Wangyot, was born male but “identifies as female,” and qualified and competed in the Class 3A girls’ sprints at an Alaska state meet, taking home third place in the 200-meter dash (27.3 seconds) and fifth in the 100 (13.36 seconds). (http://www.lifezette.com/quickzette/trans-student-wins-girls-track-field-championship/)

Since the race, Wangyot’s story made national headlines, earning the 18-year-old Haines High School athlete widespread praise for “contributions to the LGBT movement.”

However, not everyone was celebrating the high schooler’s success. After the story was reported by KTVA-TV, Jennifer VanPelt, a mother of one of the girls who lost to Nattaphon “Ice” Wangyot, took to the comments section of the news station’s article.

After one commenter named Stephanie Leigh Golman Williams noted with frustration that a runner named Aurora Waclowski, who “has been top three since freshman” year, was knocked off the awards podium by a male-born runner.

Such complaints are NOT without basis, nor support from the science of genetics.

Recently, the former Chief of Psychiatry at Johns Hopkins Hospital and Distinguished Service Professor of Psychiatry at Johns Hopkins University, Dr. Paul R. McHugh, blasted the Left’s transgender movement, saying that those who enable the metal illness of transgenderism are “collaborating with madness."

Doctor McHugh explained that trans people, those who don't identify as their biological sex, exude behaviors of “sexual misdirection," called “autogynephilia" and added that such behaviors don’t seem to cease post-op:

For the post-surgery transgender men, data collected by one of McHugh’s colleagues showed that most of the patients did not regret the genitalia change “but that in every other respect, they were little changed in their psychological condition,” said Dr. McHugh. In other words, according to Dr. McHugh, “They had the same problems with relationships, work, and emotions as before.”

Dr. McHugh added: "We saw the results as demonstrating that just as these men enjoyed cross-dressing as women before the operation so they enjoyed cross-living after it," he said. "But they were no better in their psychological integration or any easier to live with."

The doctor concluded that providing a "surgical alteration to the body of these people was to collaborate with a mental disorder rather than to treat it."

Upon major findings, the Johns Hopkins Psychiatry Department "concluded that human sexual identity is mostly built into our constitution by the genes we inherit and the embryogenesis we undergo." This made it "quite clear" that "we psychiatrists should work to discourage those adults who seek surgical sex reassignment."

Dr. McHugh believes that trans activists are incorrectly conflating sex-reassignment surgery with "gay liberation movements." According to Dr. McHugh, trans activists "still argue that their members are entitled to whatever surgery they want, and they still claim that their sexual dysphoria represents a true conception of their sexual identity."

He adds, “One might expect that those who claim that sexual identity has no biological or physical basis would bring forth more evidence to persuade others, but as I’ve learned, there is a deep prejudice in favor of the idea that nature is totally malleable.”

That same sentiment was posed by one of the female runner’s parents from that Alaskan track meet. In responding to a post from Nattaphon “Ice” Wangyot, that parent wrote, She is a phenomenal runner for a female. She happens to be the fastest female in the MatSu Valley. And she’s a freshman. Obviously she is at a disadvantage to you because she was not born with the physical attributes you were as a male. It’s 100% science. Men are physically different than females. Your times would not allowed you to compete with the boys at state. So don’t start casting stones telling me my daughter isn’t good enough. Because she is.”

She went on, “I believe parents and athletes alike should be worried. Transgender males being allowed to compete in female events are being afforded an unfair advantage,” VanPelt continued. “Males are physically different than females. That’s a scientific fact. Hormones and body modification cannot change that. Today it’s one transgender athlete. Tomorrow it could be half the field.”


That, in many respects, is the crux of this matter.

Friday, February 17, 2012

LINSANITY!....













If, as many note, art/entertainment are America’s greatest (and most profitable) export, and no doubt, America leads the world in producing such, from the most low-brow of entertainments (pornography) to the most high-brow of pursuits sports, then American sports (art) entertainment has “taken it to another level” this year!

On the heels of Tebow-mania comes its basketball equivalent, LINSANITY!

A 23 y/o undrafted point guard out of Harvard has set the NBA and the entire sports world on fire, leading a Knicks, a team that had dropped 9 straight games, one more than its season victory total to that time (8-15), on a 7 game winning streak and counting (now 15-15).

More than that, once again the sports/arts world (which earlier served to render the Bernie Madoff scandal easily understandable through the travails of the NY Mets and the current economic contraction process via the NFL & NBA lockouts much clearer) is illustrating yet another real-life reality, as only it can.

I’ve spent years explaining the concept of “Expanding Variability” as a reason why the “experts” political, economic, etc., are more often wrong than they are right.

Here, the unlikely rise of a 23 y/o undrafted (sports) artist out of Harvard (hardly a sports/arts powerhouse) has proven the experts wrong (as usual) and Expanding Variability correct. Just how rare Harvard grads in the NBA are, it’s been reported that just 4 Harvard grads have played in the NBA, while 8 have served as President of the United States!

A dozen teams had passed on Jeremy Lin, two others had cut him outright and the NY Knicks were days away from waiving him, when they pressed him into action on February 4th!

Since that time the Knicks have been transformed from a sad-sack team barely winning a third of their games and on an interminable 9-game losing tear to one of the hottest teams in the NBA over the last 10 days.

Far more important than “Will it last,” which can rightfully be asked in either case, is “How can these so-called “experts” be so reliably wrong?”

23 year-olds out of Harvard and weeks out of languishing in the NBA’s “D-League” (Developmental league) rarely set the league on fire, but that’s exactly what Jeremy Lin has done. Lin’s jersey is now the leading seller among NBA jerseys. Masks have been made of his face and taken to games. China has reset their TV scheduling to be able to broadcast Knick games. Toronto, with its 12% Asian population went wild when the Knicks visited a few days ago, turning an away game to a veritable “home game” for the NY Knicks.

Should the “experts” being proven wrong (AGAIN) be any surprise to astute people (those paying any attention) everywhere?

Hardly.

Of ESPN’s 12 football “experts” (and all of them had weighty credentials) ONLY one picked the NY Giants to even make the playoffs. . .NONE picked them to be IN, let alone win the Super Bowl!

Of course, the “experts” being proven wrong and more-wrong, happens across every field, virtually EVERY day! Mark Zandi (often described as President Obama’s favorite economist) of Moody’s Analytics’ recently noted, “The January employment report will be on the soft side. I expect payroll employment to increase by just over 100k and private sector employment to increase by 125k. Unemployment will edge higher to 8.6 percent.” That prediction for the January employment number was every bit as wrong as the ESPN preseason NFL picks were.

When the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ numbers came out Friday, they showed that rather than edging higher, to 8.6 percent, as Zandi had predicted, the unemployment rate had dropped, to 8.3 percent. And the nonfarm-payroll number grew 243,000, more than double what he’d predicted.

In August of 2011 David Leonhardt, a 2011 Pulitzer Prize winner for what the Pulitzer Board for economic reporting (the Pulitzer Committee heralded “his graceful penetration of America’s complicated economic questions) wrote an article titled, “Stocks Are Still Expensive. In it he claimed that U.S. “stocks are under pressure because they are fairly expensive right now relative to earnings,asserting that, “Stocks would have to fall another 6 percent from their current level to return to the 50-year average.”

Since that article was printed U.S. stocks, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, rose by a whopping 12%. . .and 18-pecentage point swing FROM Leonhardt’s predicted 6% decline.

Expanding Variability rules the day once again!

Beyond all that, Lin’s sudden rise has also brought in the inevitable issue of race. Are many non-black athletes discounted and unheralded due to preconceptions (bias)?

That charge has been aro0und for decades. Paul Warfield a standout NFL receiver, who happened to be black, noted way back in the 1970s that there were many white receivers that didn’t get the chance a white teammate of Warfield’s (Chris Collingsworth) got “because they were white and a lot of coaches just didn’t want to take a chance on them”).

ALL of that controversy could easily be overcome IF we’d just go by the numbers using standardized modalities of measurements. The NFL has it “Combines” where prospects are scrutinized purely on the numbers (how fast, how high, etc.), if those measurements were used and the subjective input from coaches and other “experts” were ignored, at least there’d be hint of bias.

Standardized modalities are NEVER biased.

Certainly it would’ve resulted in LESS shock over Jeremy Lin’s success had the “experts” simply gone with the numbers rather than allow their doubts over his pedigree and background take precedence.
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