Showing posts with label Alan Krueger. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Alan Krueger. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 14, 2014

WHY Do So-Called “Elites” ALWAYS Get Things WRONG?


(See: http://www.frontpagemag.com/2010/wm-b-fankboner/the-educated-muslim-terrorist/)




In the wake of WWII, two separate ideas  bubbled up, with the goal being, to keep another Third Reich from ever happening again. Both ideas were widely embraced by ALL the existing “elites,” and fast-tracked into place.

One view was that the Third Reich was, at heart, in effect a macho men’s club and the answer was to empower women to take on more leadership roles. The idea being that females are naturally LESS violent, thus less prone to war, with a greater reverence for life.

It was argued that this transition would take some time in order to groom women AND men to accept this sea change in the social order. Society itself would have to become more androgynous.

In other words, it would take some time to groom women to be more like men…makes sense, in a dumb kind of way.

It was a radical idea alright, radically insipid.

In short order, female leaders proved to be every bit as bloodthirsty as their male counterparts. In India, the first of these leaders, Indira Gandhi initiated the India-Pakistan war that began in 1971. She also embarked on a vigorous (often violent), many would say tyrannical policy of land reform, starting in 1969 and placed a cap on personal income, private property, and corporate profits. She also nationalized major banks, a bold step, as the rift between herself and the party elders grew. The Congress would expel her for “indiscipline” on November 12th, 1969, in an action that split the party into two factions. She also ordered a military attack on the Golden Temple (Amritsar-in Punjab India), a shrine that sacred to the Sikh’s, in order to remove Sikh separatists that where collecting weapons inside the temple (called Operation Blue Star). She was assassinated to avenge this act by two of her bodyguards – who were Sikh.

Israel’s Golda Meir, the first “Iron Lady” of Israeli politics also led with a fist, her tenure ending after the Yom Kippur War of late 1973.

England’s Margaret Thatcher garnered a similar reputation for a propensity for the gun during her own tenure as Prime Minister.

All this only proving that the “fairer sex” was no fairer and no less prone to violence and war than their male counterparts.

The other view was that Nazism was a particularly Western (European) flaw, born of the old (pre-WWI) European social order and that the answer was to raise up those who comprised what those old Europeans once called “the lower races.” The idea being that these groups were generally more peaceful, at one with nature and not prone to those vile European vices.

Again, recent events show this idea was also fatally flawed, as Rwanda conclusively proved that ethnic genocide was NOT a uniquely German, let alone European flaw. Nor are massive wars with horrific civilian losses. It’s been estimated that over 10 MILLION people have died in the Congo wars since 2000!

HOW could two separate ideas embraced by the prevailing “elites,” that is, bolstered and supported by legions of academics, along with a majority of business and governmental leaders be so completely and utterly WRONG?

Sadly, these “elites” generally aren’t as smart as they think they are. There’s a great difference between being educated and being bright. Creativity and genius aren’t educated into people, it can only be “brought out” in those who ALREADY have it. Moreover, the best students are often the best conformists. They tend NOT to be very creative, NOT prone to questioning themselves and unable to accept, let alone deal with concepts like expanding variability (the MORE information that becomes available, the MORE variables or complications are uncovered). The result is overly simplistic distillations like the ones above.

TODAY, we have an excellent example of that in America’s current Secretary of State, John Kerry. In Rome, this past January, Kerry said, “We talked about the common interest of Pope Francis and President Obama in addressing poverty and extreme poverty on a global basis. The United States of America is deeply involved in efforts in Africa and in other parts of the world – in Asia, South Central Asia – to address this poverty, as is the Catholic Church. And so we have a huge common interest in dealing with this issue of poverty, which in many cases is the root cause of terrorism or even the root cause of the disenfranchisement of millions of people on this planet.”

Really?!

Ever heard of Mohammad Atta? Wealthy family, an educated engineer? Any of that sound at all familiar? How about Major Hasan Nadal...M.D., well-educated, affluent, does any of that ring a bell?

Princeton economist Alan Krueger’s in-depth research, delivered in a lecture at the London School of Economics last year notes, “Each time we have one of these attacks and the backgrounds of the attackers are revealed, this should put to rest the myth that terrorists are attacking us because they are desperately poor,” he says. “But this misconception doesn’t die.”...“As a group, terrorists are better educated and from wealthier families than the typical person in the same age group in the societies from which they originate.”

Mr. Krueger went on to state, “There is no evidence of a general tendency for impoverished or uneducated people to be more likely to support terrorism or join terrorist organizations than their higher-income, better-educated countrymen,” he said. The Sept. 11 attackers were relatively well-off men from a rich country, Saudi Arabia [DS: Not all of them, as 4 were not from Saudi Arabia].

John Kerry isn’t just WRONG on the nature of terrorism, he’s dangerously wrong!

So, WHY do these so-called “elites” ALWAYS get it wrong?

Primarily because they rarely question themselves, or their initial ideas...and because they CAN, with very little prospect for any personal accountability.

In South Korea, the Prime Minister just resigned in the wake of a private sector Ferry disaster. In many other places throughout Asia, leaders have, by custom, taken their own lives after a disastrous turn of events, like when their policies turn out wrong. Hmmmm...just musing aloud about that, that’s all.

Monday, July 9, 2007

Poverty and Lack of Education Are NOT Linked to Terrorism






More than half a decade since 9/11/01, it seems that America STILL doesn’t understand its enemy in the Global War on Terrorism (WoT). Sure there are fringe characters like Michael Moore and Cindy Sheehan who insist that “there is no terrorist threat,” but almost EVERY one of the Democratic candidates for the White House, save Hillary Clinton, seem to think that Military force can and should be replaced with diplomacy.

Even the Bush administration has failed to understand who the enemy is and what. Less than a year after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, President Bush said, "We fight against poverty because hope is an answer to terror."

A few months later, the First Lady, Laura Bush, said, "Educated children are much more likely to embrace the values that defeat terror," while former World Bank President James Wolfensohn has claimed, "The war on terrorism will not be won until we have come to grips with the problem of poverty, and thus the sources of discontent."

THAT’S the conventional wisdom and it's appealing to many people because it’s in line with the noble cause of fighting poverty and ignorance. But all the systematic study done to date seems to indicate that this “conventional wisdom” is wrong.

According to Alan Krueger and economist at the London School of Economics, "As a group, terrorists are better educated and from wealthier families than the typical person in the same age group in the societies from which they originate," Mr. Krueger outlined the results of his recent studies at the London School of Economics last year in a lecture that will soon to be published as a book, "What Makes a Terrorist?"

Alan Krueger says, "There is no evidence of a general tendency for impoverished or uneducated people to be more likely to support terrorism or join terrorist organizations than their higher-income, better-educated countrymen," he said and that seems to be borne out by some of the most high profile recent terrorist attacks – both the 9-11 and the 7-7 attackers were relatively well-educated and well-off men.

David Wessel writing in the Wall Street Journal notes that, “Mr. Krueger, 46 years old, is one of those academics whose research extends from the standard fare -- How much more do workers with education earn? What happens to employment when the minimum wage rises? -- to, well, cool stuff. Did Firestone factories produce shoddy tires during a period of labor unrest? (Yes) Are rich people really enjoying life more than the rest of us? (No) Are concert-ticket prices higher for female musicians than males? (Yes)”

“When He began poking around this sordid subject a decade ago when he and a colleague found little connection between economic circumstances and the incidence of violent hate crimes in Germany. Among the statistical pieces of the puzzle a small band of academics have assembled since are these:

• Backgrounds of 148 Palestinian suicide bombers show they were less likely to come from families living in poverty and were more likely to have finished high school than the general population. Biographies of 129 Hezbollah shahids (martyrs) reveal they, too, are less likely to be from poor families than the Lebanese population from which they come. The same goes for available data about an Israeli terrorist organization, Gush Emunim, active in the 1980s.

• Terrorism doesn't increase in the Middle East when economic conditions worsen; indeed, there seems no link. One study finds the number of terrorist incidents is actually higher in countries that spend more on social-welfare programs. Slicing and dicing data finds no discernible pattern that countries that are poorer or more illiterate produce more terrorists. Examining 781 terrorist events classified by the U.S. State Department as "significant" reveals terrorists tend to come from countries distinguished by political oppression, not poverty or inequality.

• Public-opinion polls from Jordan, Morocco, Pakistan and Turkey find people with more education are more likely to say suicide attacks against Westerners in Iraq are justified. Polls of Palestinians find no clear difference in support for terrorism as a means to achieve political ends between the most and least educated.”

So if poverty and lack of education DO NOT motivate terrorists, what does?

Well according to Mr. Wessel, “So, what is the cause? Suppression of civil liberties and political rights," and he cites Alan Krueger who notes, "When nonviolent means of protest are curtailed," he says, "malcontents appear to be more likely to turn to terrorist tactics."

While that may well explain some of jihadism’s appeal in the Mideast, it does nothing to explain its appeal among Muslims in the West. No, there’s something more.

As blogger Jeremayakovka (http://jeremayakovka.typepad.com/) has astutely noted, “Islam, like Communism is simply incompatible with democracy.”


Jere cites former British PM Tony Blair who said, “The idea that as a Muslim in this country that you don't have the freedom to express your religion or your views, I mean you've got far more freedom in this country than you do in most Muslim countries.”

Blair goes on, “The reason we are finding it hard to win this battle is that we're not actually fighting it properly. We're not actually standing up to these people and saying, "It's not just your methods that are wrong, your ideas are absurd. Nobody is oppressing you. Your sense of grievance isn't justified."

Yes, it seems that like Communism, Sharia-based Islam is simply incompatible with Democracy.
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