Rudy’s Risky Strategy May Lead to an Early Exit

Aside from a dubious ("Big State") campaign strategy, Rudy Giuliani (once dubbed “America’s Mayor”) faces a new and largely (at least from his camp) unexpected foe – firefighters from across the country.

The first stop for a series of rallies organized by the International Association of Firefighters and family members of the victims of September 11th terror attacks, was a firefighters' union on North Orange Blossom Trail, Florida. Members urged voters not to support Giuliani for president.

Rudy Giuliani, much like Senator Hillary Clinton, is an abrasive, unlikable person and that’s a tough burden for any politician to overcome.

As Mayor of New York City, Giuliani was a veritable miracle worker. He took over from one of the worst mayors in that City’s history (David Dinkins), a man often referred to as “The Jimmy Carter of New York City.”

Under Dinkins New York’s population and its tax base both shrunk, but crime sky rocketed. The last year David Dinkins was Mayor, there were over 2,000 murders in new York City.

One of Giuliani’s initial master strokes was making Bill Bratton NYPD Commissioner. Bratton was beloved by New York cops and loathed by both criminals and ACLU-types alike.

In his first salvo in the Giuliani era war on crime, Bratton began unceremoniously locking up the so-called “Squeegee-men,” aggressive panhandlers who targeted drivers (especially women) on the entrances and exits of New York City’s many highways.

When some ACLU-types demanded, “How will these squeegee-men make any money,” Bratton famously answered, “I say, they should get off the booze, get off the drugs and get a job!”

That set the tone of one of the most successful crime policies ever developed and it made both Giuliani and Bratton national figures, and rightly so.

Bratton’s Compstat program was rightly hailed as “a stroke of genius,” by others in law enforcement. Repeat offenders were targeted both by police (for extra scrutiny) and by the courts (for longer sentences). Bratton popularized the mantra that violent street crime was “motivated by greed not need.”

Under Giuliani, New York began a massive gentrification, as “ghetto areas” shrunk and yuppies began reclaiming large swaths of the once blighted City. Rudy even made a deal with Disney to renovate and make-over New York’s Times Square!

The fact of the matter is that Giuliani was certainly one of the greatest Mayors New York City ever had, policy-wise, but his personal life was a mess, he became increasingly autocratic and when he dumped Bratton in 1996, he followed Bratton up with increasingly pedestrian choices (first, Howard Safir, and then, the infamous Bernie Kerik).

But after two terms and two consecutive Police and Fire contracts front-ended with ZERO percent raises, Guiliani had worn out his welcome with most in New York’s Emergency Response community, and it wasn’t all about money, although that was a sore point, as neighboring jurisdiction’s salaries soared, along with those of NYC’s Deputy mayors and Commissioners, no, Giuliani also alienated a lot of the top brass in both the NYPD and the FDNY.

It was indeed Giuliani who insisted that the City’s Emergency Command Post be placed in Building-7 of the World Trade Center, over the objections of both Police and Fire officials.

Ironically enough, Giuliani’s post-11 reputation has taken even more of a beating. Some of that is due to the sensitivity, especially of family members of the 9/11 victims that “No one should profit off of 9/11.” When long-time author, Dennis Smith (Report From Engine Company 82) wrote a book based on interviews with many of those Police and Firefighters who “worked the pile” after that day, family members of the victims went to the publisher (Simon-Schuster) to block its release.

For his part, Giuliani shamelessly intertwined his political reputation with 9/11 and built a lucrative anti-terror enterprise (Giuliani Partners) and lapped up the post-9/11 attention as “America’s Mayor,” alienating many 9/11 family members in the process.

Many saw that as just another example of Giuliani’s abrasiveness, a quality that is now threatening to put an early end to his White House hopes.

At this point, it’s hard to believe, let alone remember when Giuliani was seen as the Republican favorite, just six months ago.

Some GREAT NEWS for Giuliani

A Quinnipiac Poll released February 21st, 2007 shows that if the 2008 election were held today, Giuliani would beat Hillary Clinton in a head-to-head race 48% to 43%. More startling still is that he'd tie her in traditional democratic States, 46% in a dead-heat.

He'd fare even better against John Edwards, beating him 48% to 40% and besting Barack Obama head-to-head 47% to 40%

The Poll also shows that Giuliani has opened a rather wide lead on Arizona Governor, John McCain, 40% to 18%.

In Conservative Seneca, South Carolina, Giuliani's socially moderate views didn't seem to hurt him. As Lieutenant Todd Williams of the Seneca Fire Department, a Republican said, "I am personally not pro-choice, but with any candidate, you have to take some bads to get some goods."

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1019

http://www.nydailynews.com/02-22-2007/news/story/4999712p-421360c.html

Giuliani Track Record is Alright With Conservatives

Recently Dick Morris wondered aloud, “When did the Christian Right’s agenda come to include litmus tests on immigration, guns and race/gender preferences?”

I don’t know, but I like it a LOT, probably because I agree with their positions on all three – enforcement first, respect of the Second Amendment and no to preferences.

Of course, many pundits feel that two of the currently leading prospective GOP candidates for 2008, McCain and Giuliani, will beach themselves on the shoals of those issues.

In a January 11th piece (“ “Liberal” Rudy? Not on Qutas”), Deroy Murdock makes a much overlooked point about Rudy Giuliani – not only is Rudy excellent on the issue of crime control and he gets the fact that international terrorism is beyond the scope of American law enforcement, he also gets it right on race/gender-based preferences and welfare reform and in so doing, makes the case that Giuliani may navigate those issues far more effectively than can McCain.

Murdock notes that, “In his first month, Mayor Giuliani scrapped New York’s 20 percent set-asides for minority- and female-owned contractors, and a 10 percent price premium that City Hall let such companies charge above the bids of white, male competitors.” Giuliani saw the policy as not only discriminatory, but fiscally unsound costing New York City millions of dollars each year, at a time when the city was running a $3 BILLION deficit!

Giuliani replaced those set-asides (quotas) with contractor workshops on how to prepare more competitive applications, while a number of projects were divided up into smaller units, so that newer, less-capitalized bidders could qualify.Giuliani also quickly shuttered the city’s offices of African-American/Caribbean Affairs, Asian Affairs, European-American Affairs, Gay Community Affairs, Jewish Community Affairs, and Latino Affairs, as he saw these as fiefdoms that sought favor, not fairness.

Giuliani appointed Herman Badillo as Chancellor of the City University of New York and together they ended the “open admissions” that had plagued CUNY for over two decades. By increasing graduation requirements and other academic standards, they generated reams of gloom and doom predictions, but in fact, CUNY’s minority enrollment and graduation rates actually grew after Giuliani and Badillo raised standards across the board for all students.

The welfare reform enacted in New York City by the Giuliani administration immediately cut the city’s welfare rolls by over a third! Proving what many social Conservatives had suspected for decades, that much of the city’s inordinate welfare expenditures were due to things like “double-dipping,” (collecting welfare from different Municipalities) and outright fraud.

And as Murdock notes that Rudy Giuliani,

“did not manage all this in lily-white Provo, Utah or right-wing Colorado Springs. Rudolph W. Giuliani courageously accomplished these things in a largely minority city notorious for its liberalism. That’s leadership.”

Not only is it leadership, but it’s a common sense course and a proven record that should resonate with Conservatives.

It’s also something that could put Rudy Giuliani in a much better position than John McCain.